Business Overview

Vertiv provides power management, thermal cooling, and infrastructure systems used in data centers and AI compute environments. The company benefits from rising server density and AI infrastructure spending, positioning it as a “picks-and-shovels” provider rather than a semiconductor risk play. Data centers can’t thrive without these services.

  1. Revenue Quality and Growth

Revenue has scaled meaningfully with a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of $18.7%. This strong multi-year uptrend is what you want to see in a any growth stock.

Year

Revenues

($ millions)

   % Change
YoY 

2025

                 10,230

27.7%

2024

                   8,012

16.7%

2023

                   6,863

20.6%

2022

                   5,692

13.9%

2021

                   4,998

14.4%

2020

                   4,371

-1.4%

2019

                   4,431

3.4%

2018

                   4,286

10.5%

2017

                   3,879

-1.6%

2016

                   3,944

0.0%

  1. Gross margin and operating leverage

Computed from Net Sales – Cost of Sales:

Gross margin

  • 2025: 36.3%

  • 2024: 36.6%

  • 2023: 35.0%

Operating margin (Operating profit / Net sales)

  • 2025: 17.9%

  • 2024: 17.1%

  • 2023: 12.7%

Gross margin is healthy and stable, while operating margin is expanding meaningfully—that usually signals scale benefits + improved mix/pricing + execution.

  1. Net Margin

Net income ratio = Net Income / Sales

$VRT started in 2016. After a few years of no profit and losses, they’ve gained solid traction and have consistently returned a profit to shareholders.

Year

Net Income

Net Income Ratio

2025

                1,333

13.0%

2024

                   496

6.2%

2023

                   460

6.7%

2022

                     77

1.3%

2021

                   120

2.4%

2020

                 (327)

-7.5%

2019

                 (141)

-3.2%

2018

                       5

0.1%

2017

                      (0)

0.0%

2016

                      (0)

0.0%

  1. Debt to Free Cash Flow

Vertiv is in a solid leverage position. They are able to pay off there debt with existing cash flows in 1.8 years. Anything under three is outstanding, especially for a company in this position as a market leader and relatively new business, incorporated in 2016.

Year

Long-Term Debt

Free Cash Flow

Debt to FCF

2025

                     3,383

                 1,894

                       1.8

2024

                     3,079

                 1,135

                       2.7

2023

                     3,062

                    766

                       4.0

  1. Economic Value Added

The average return on capital over the past 5 years is 11.65%. The weighed average cost of capital over the same period is 7.7%. This is a spread of 3.95%. In other words, when comparing the cost to hold the capital (debt and equity) versus the return on that capital, $VRT is increasing in economic value at an average of 3.95%.

This isn’t the most impressive stat. However, this is a 5 year average. In 2025, the ROC was 22.84% with a WACC of 8.51%, a 14.33% increase in economic value. This shows the value creation of $VRT increasing and proving the quality of the business.

  1. Dividend Policy

Dividends paid:

  • 2025: $66.6M

  • 2024: $42.2M

  • 2023: $9.5M

Dividends as % of FCF

  • 2025: ~3.5%

  • 2024: ~3.7%

  • 2023: ~1.2%

The dividend is small today but as of right now, they are committed to growing their dividend. With a very low payout ratio of 3.5%, there is plenty of cash flow available to grow their dividend. Don’t look for rapid growth as this company should have many opportunities to reinvest cash flow back into the business. If anything, I’d prefer they don’t pay a dividend this early in their business development.

  1. Valuation

Intrinsic Value Range: $214 - $261
Estimated 5 year CAGR: 25%
Discount Rate: WACC of 7.7%
Terminal Value: 25x FCF

Vertiv Holdings, Co. is within their fair value range despite the recent sharp rise. According to my estimates, this appears to be a good time to get in on the AI push without taking on too much risks. As I mentioned earlier, this stock is similar to the picks and the shovels in the gold rush. Regardless of which company wins the biggest with AI, everyone needs power and cooling infrastructure.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my interpretations of the business results. This is not investment advice. I am not your investment advisor. Seek professional, personal investment advice.

 

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